![]() ![]() The quarterbacks will go as the line goes, and if they can't get time to throw or room to work, the floor gets a lot lower. The biggest factor in determining their floors this year is the offensive line play. Trubisky'sfloor: Both Trubisky and Pickett have relatively high floors - that's what drew the Steelers to each quarterback in the offseason. Giants after the organization drafted Eli Manning. Pickett is the future, and Trubisky's best hope is leading the team to the playoffs and using that to springboard to another spot - similar to Kurt Warner's year with the N.Y. What's Trubisky's ceiling: Even if he performs well for the Steelers in 2022 and showcases his mobility and arm, Trubisky isn't the long-term answer in Pittsburgh. Still, even though Trubisky initially won the starting job - he was listed as the starter on the depth chart and also named one of the captains on Monday - Pickett will be nipping at his heels through the regular season. The team acquired Trubisky through free agency and drafted Kenny Pickettin the first round, but the veteran held the edge on the rookie throughout camp. What prompted the change: Roethlisberger retired, officially beginning a new era in Pittsburgh. The QB switch: Mitch Trubisky replaces Ben Roethlisberger Stephen HolderĬlay's projection for Ryan: 3,878 yards, 24 TDs, 12 INTs It's never a bad idea to get the ball into the hands of Taylor and Nyheim Hines in space. Ryan is also more apt to utilize checkdown throws to his running backs. Ryan's floor: At minimum, Ryan gives the Colts a more efficient passing game, given his career numbers in completion percentage and yards per attempt, to say nothing of the improved talent around him. His timing is also a good fit for Colts coach Frank Reich's offense, which emphasizes timing and rhythmic throws. What's Ryan's ceiling: Ryan could inject more big plays into the offense with his ability to throw to receivers with timing, enabling more yards after the catch. The Colts were 26th in passing yards last season. The Colts adopted primarily a power-run offense behind running back Jonathan Taylor, but they decided they needed more from their passing game. What prompted the change: The Colts' passing game became heavily restricted by the coaching staff's lack of trust in Wentz late in the 2021 season. The QB switch: Matt Ryan replaces Carson Wentz ![]() Jeff LegwoldĬlay's projection for Wilson: 4,081 yards, 30 TDs, 10 INTs But if things don't go well, it could be because the Broncos didn't protect Wilson well enough, and he didn't do his part to get the ball out quicker when he had the chance. Wilson's floor: Because of the Broncos' woes on offense in recent years, it might still be a season in which Wilson throws for more yards and touchdowns than anybody in Denver since a healthy Manning. What's Wilson's ceiling: If the Broncos can find their timing quickly this season with a first-year head coach in Nathaniel Hackett, the ceiling is a Pro Bowl-caliber year with Wilson throwing for more yards, touchdowns and creating more big plays than anyone in Denver since Peyton Manning in 2014. And the Broncos quickly moved to lock Wilson up long term with a five-year extension worth $245 million, including $165 million guaranteed, sources say. So when the Seahawks told the Broncos that Wilson was available, Broncos general manager George Paton pounced with a massive package of players and draft picks, including two first- and two second-round picks. What prompted the change: The Broncos have missed the playoffs for six consecutive years - since winning Super Bowl 50 - and haven't averaged more than 21 points per game in any of the past five seasons. The QB switch: Russell Wilson replaces Teddy Bridgewater/ Drew Lock If Atlanta can have an improved version of what Mariota was with the Titans, he could have a chance to be the long-term starter, giving the Falcons more flexibility in the 2023 draft. 2 overall pick in the 2015 draft and the quarterback who threw for 26 touchdowns and nine interceptions in 2016. What's Mariota's ceiling: The best-case scenario for the Falcons is Mariota rediscovers what made him the No. In this year's draft, the team also selected rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder in the third round. The same day, the Falcons signed Mariota, who played under Atlanta coach Arthur Smith when Smith was the offensive coordinator in Tennessee. When Houston traded Watson to Cleveland, the Falcons then dealt Ryan to Indianapolis. During that process, Atlanta allowed Ryan to pursue potential trade partners, and Ryan felt comfortable with the Colts. What prompted the change: The Falcons were pursuing Deshaun Watson, who was facing 22 lawsuits alleging sexual assault and inappropriate conduct during massage sessions. The QB switch: Marcus Mariota replaces Matt Ryan
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